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In 1944, through the Bretton Woods Agreement adopted by major nations immediately after the second world war, every major currency of the world was pegged against gold whose value was fixed then at $35 per oz. The agreement was meant to stabilize financial stability among nations and impose a common monetary policy for the then chaotic monetary situation gripping the whole world after the war. The Bretton Woods Agreement had the original purpose of rebuilding economies after World War II through a series of currency stabilization programs and infrastructure loans to war-ravaged nations. The concept was a good one but in actual practice many nations pegged the value of their currencies against the US Dollar rather than gold - the US being the dominant economic force then and at the same time holds 80% of the world's gold reserve. The US dollar became the global reserve of choice among many nations.
The Bretton Woods Agreement served its purpose well for the next 25 years but miserably failed in two issues - 1) It prevented gold from seeking its real market value; 2) It lacked provisions for checking the gold reserve growth. With world gold production lagging so precariously slow against actual demand, the situation ended up with the US Dollar being hugely overvalued against gold. The $35 per oz rate of gold became increasingly untenable. Because of the lagging production of gold, the price of gold in the open market in London was rising and as a result, rapid outflow of US gold ensued depleting the US gold reserves tremendously, and finally reducing it to a mere 22% of world gold reserve by 1991.
As early as 1968, US President Johnson enacted a series of measures to stem the continued outflow of US gold. Finally, in 1971, US President Nixon declared it will no longer honor the $35 per oz. discarding the Bretton Woods agreement permanently and opting for a floating rate system of determining currency values. This in effect reduced all world currency into becoming "fiat" currencies. ( A fiat is an authoritative pronouncement. A fiat currency is defined and created by a government. It is given meaning only by legal tender laws—national laws that say that the fiat currency has to be accepted as payment in that country, and thus force people to use the fiat currency.)
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None of today's currencies is backed up by gold or anything tangible. They are all 'fiat' currencies. They are
merely created by legal tender laws that dictates that a currency must be accepted as payment in that country. Worst, because currencies are not pegged against any tangible standards, governments can freely print them as they will. Printing new money against its borrowings has in fact become a common practice among governments today and has alarmingly increased since 1995. This has created a global bubble economy about to burst (if it hasn't yet). Meanwhile, the US Dollar's role as a global reserve is now being questioned and challenged almost everywhere.
The chances of major nations reverting back to a gold standard has become a favorite topic of discussion among the academe and various financial circles worldwide. Developments favoring gold as money are spreading. Islamic nations are studying the possibility of a gold Dinar, the president of Argentina has proposed a gold-backed peso as an answer to its economic woes. Russia is proposing a convertible currency pegged against gold.
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So, should we buy gold now?
The continuing financial deterioration in the US without a solution in site argues for a continued decline of the dollar. However, other countries are resisting the dollar's decline since they don't want their own currencies to appreciate at this point in time. We are therefore faced with a global currency debasement which will ultimately make the prices of tangibles like precious metals rise in value significantly. In short, gold is poised to still break new highs. But, the strongest argument favoring further gold price rises is the fact that world gold mine supply tremendously lag actual gold demand. for jewelry, industrial use, etc.
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It's a nice metal to buy if you have extra cash
ReplyDeleteBuying gold is not for everyone. Only those who can Buy Gold Assets are able to keep these valuables. Still, it's better to have gold assets because you can save them for a rainy day.
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